Get the best available World Series Winner odds from all online bookmakers with OddsChecker, the home of betting value. In one of the greatest endings in World Series history, the Florida Marlins defeated the Cleveland Indians four games to three, winning the decisive Game 7 on a walk-off single by Edgar Renteria to score Craig Counsell. The Marlins became the first wild card team to ever win the Series, in only their fifth season.
The Miami Marlins surprised many in the shortened 60-game 2020 regular season by going 31-29 and earning a playoff berth as the second seed in the National League East. We look at the Miami Marlins’MLB futures odds, including their projected 2021 win total and World Series odds at BetMGM.
Miami again heads into the MLB season as a sizable underdog while looking to improve on the breakthrough 2020 performance. The playoff berth was even more impressive when considering the Marlins were one of the teams most affected by MLB’s COVID-19 protocols last season.
The Marlins exercised a contract option on star OF Starling Marte. He’ll be charged with leading a young offense. 3B Brian Anderson led the team with 11 home runs last season while SS Miguel Rojas posted a .379 wOBA over 40 games played.
Pitching projects as the biggest weakness in Miami this season with an extremely young and/or inexperienced starting rotation. RHP Sandy Alcantara led the way in 2020 with a 3.00 ERA over 7 starts.
OF Adam Duvall was the most notable offseason addition for Miami. He hit 16 home runs and slashed .237/.301/.532 for the Atlanta Braves last season.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, March 10 at 12:45 p.m. ET.
Odds: +8000 (bet $100 to win $8,000)
The Marlins share just the 21st best odds to win the 2021 World Series. The +8000 odds can be expressed as a fraction of 80/1 or decimal of 81.00.
Their implied win probability of 1.23% matches the Colorado Rockies, Baltimore Orioles, San Francisco Giants, Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners. Only four teams have higher odds and are being given a lower chance of lifting the Commissioner’s Trophy.
Last year’s shortened season left open the door for increased volatility and allowed the Marlins to do enough in a smaller sample size to make the playoffs. They even beat the Chicago Cubs in the Wild Card Round but were then swept by the Atlanta Braves in the NLDS.
PASS on betting the Marlins to win the World Series over a full 162-game campaign.
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Over/Under: 70.5 (O: -110 U: -110)
The Marlins won 51.67% of their games in 2020. That same win rate would peg them for 83 or 84 wins this season, a marked jump from their projected win total.
Miami, however, was minus-41 in run differential last season and had a Pythagorean win/loss record of 26-34. They went 21-19 in divisional play and benefited from disappointing seasons for the Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets and Washington Nationals. All three of those teams had a more impressive offseason and should rebound in 2021.
Bet Miami to fall UNDER 70.5 (-110) in the 162-game campaign and finish at the bottom of the NL East, as was expected last season.
The Marlins have the worst odds to win a vastly improved NL East, despite finishing second last season. They have an implied win probability of 5.88% and it is NOT worth a wager.
Odds: +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
Miami’s odds to win the NL are chopped in half from the World Series. They share the +4000 tag with the Rockies and Giants; only the Arizona Diamondbacks (+5000) and Pittsburgh Pirates (+8000) have worse odds.
The implied 2.44% win probability (40/1 fractional odds) is NOT worth chasing.
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